Monthly archive
TONIGHT'S RALSTON REPORTS: CD1 hopeful Chris Edwards, feedback on Steve Wynn, Reality Check time
DAYS SINCE HARRY REID HAS BEEN ON FACE TO FACE: 634
DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY: 25
DAYS UNTIL EARLY VOTING BEGINS: 8
DAYS UNTIL U.S. SENATE DEBATE ON F2F: 3
DAYS UNTIL CD3 DEBATE ON F2F: 12
DAYS UNTIL THE TEEN CAN AFFECT THE POLITICAL WORLD: 272
Good morning, everyone. A tie is not just like kissing your sister; it’s also better than a loss....
ood morning, everyone. I know Sarah Palin, Sarah Palin is not a friend of mine, but Paul Ryan is no Sarah Palin. Tonight’s debate will be fascinating, mostly because the president has put himself in a position where he has to rely on Vice President Joe Biden to reverse the momentum Barack Obama gave to Mitt Romney. .And Biden, like your proverbial six-year-old: When he’s good, he’s very, very good; but when he’s bad, he’s—Tonight at 6 PM on the West Coast, dear Flashees. “Ralston Reports” is...
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is up with its second ad using supposedly credible sources to pound Rep. Joe Heck on his infamous "pyramid scheme" comment about Soical Security.
So Oceguera is trying to push women away from Heck with his ads and the national Democrats are going for seniors.
Could it work? Maybe.
GOP pollster Frank Luntz, who often does focus groups during major events for FOX, will bring his show to Las Vegas next week for the presidential debate.
This went out today as a reminder:
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Frank Luntz/Luntz Global <focusgroups@luntzglobal.com>> Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2012 23:16:35> Reply-to:> Subject: LAST REMINDER! Take this new survey for a chance to participate in Luntz Global's upcoming LAS VEGAS, NV Focus Group>> The Presidential...
Welcome to The Weekly Report, where you find exclusive commentary and analysis. I hope you premium subscribers will let me know what you like and what you don't, what you'd like to see more of and (heaven forfend) less of. I aims to please.
This week:
1. By the Numbers: Delving into the polls
2. My column--How Romney could win Nevada
3. The State of the Races
BY THE NUMBERS--MAKING SENSE (OR NONSENSE) OF THE POLLS
Four polls taken days apart – or concurrently – all found that President...
The third-quarter numbers:
Sen. Dean Heller: $1.9 raised, $1.9 on hand
Rep. Shelley Berkley: $1.65 raised, $925,000 on hand
So Berkley has spent a lot more than Heller to try to keep the race close (mission accomplished) and compete with all of that outside money. It also explains why the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has sent some cavalry.
I wonder if Team Heller wonders whether he should have spent more earlier to try to entomb Berkley. I am pretty sure that the Heller folks will...
Mark Mellman, who nailed Nevada for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in 2010, says Rep. Shelley Berkley is slightly ahead of Sen. Dean Heller.
42-39.
His memo is linked here.
The existence of the poll was first reported by The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza.
A few words about all of these polls on the presidential race in Nevada: Don’t believe them.
Sound familiar? Yes, I was telling you the same thing two years ago when every poll (almost) showed Sharron Angle would be the next U.S. senator from Nevada. That didn’t happen, and all of those polls were wrong for different reasons, which eventually comes down to the same reason:
You hear the cliché all the time that polls are snapshots in time. That is true, but it also highlights the basic problem...
The Democrats now have a larger voter registration edge over Republicans in populous Clark County than in 2008, when the party swept to top-to-bottom victories.
The numbers continue to make Mitt Romney's path to victory very difficult and Dean Heller's road to a full Senate term quite problematic. Barack Obama won Clark by 19 percentage points in 2008 en route to a smashing 12-point statewide win. I doubt he'll do that this cycle, but if he wins by 12 to 14, he will win the state pretty easily...