by Jon Ralston Wed, 10/17/2012 - 16:02
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Trying to think of something dumber, brb... t.co/8fKl0oCLul
8 hours 59 min ago.
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Our @danielrothberg’s indispensable environmental newsletter is out! t.co/qrGPprNz50
11 hours 24 min ago.
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I am not exactly sure what the category below shitshow is, but this amazing piece by @jess_hillyeah shows (again) t… t.co/M5nF7rjGEa
12 hours 33 min ago.
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"If Democrats and Republicans together stand up for Iowa, we stand up for rural America. In a modest way and with N… t.co/uveKPaScOt
13 hours 16 min ago.
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Good morning from The #WeMatter State.
On this date in 2015, AG Adam Laxalt joined a suit against a Barack Obama i… t.co/Xpjp7oT1Ua
13 hours 46 min ago.
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This is interesting... t.co/zU0PlA7hb6
1 day 4 hours ago.
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Worst part is not mice or expired food but "cats living inside."
The horror.
cc: @MichelleRindels @elizthompsn t.co/3xj8YhkqFG
1 day 7 hours ago.
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If you want context and background and fact-checking on the governor's speech Monday, Team @TheNVIndy has you cover… t.co/uZcZ2CpIjL
1 day 9 hours ago.
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Coming up soon @TheNVIndy: Our team annotated the governor's State of the State speech. You won't see anything like… t.co/3BglBgRfkL
1 day 9 hours ago.
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"The survey conducted last month also found 95 percent of those surveyed support the right to an abortion, even tho… t.co/ZU6KIsuzT3
1 day 10 hours ago.
President Obama leads Mitt Romney by 7 percentage points in Nevada, according to a new survey by Democratic pollster Lisa Grove taken this week.
The poll, for Project New America, found Obama up 50-43, a few points larger than today's Rasmussen Reports poll (with a bizarre sample) that showed 50-47, Obama.
Republicans may discount the survey because of its Democratic trappings. But I have seen the instrument (memo linked here), the party/gender weighting looks right and Grove has done work in Nevada before.
The poll actually has a low Hispanic sample, which is very ominous for the GOP. My guess: Based on the Democratic registration surge and other data I have seen, a 6- or 7-point lead for the president makes sense -- at least now.
Highlights:
-President Obama's lead is largely a result of a formidable gender gap. While he's tied among men, he leads among women voters 54%-40%. This lead will be difficult for Mitt Romney to overcome with just a few weeks before election day.
-Nevadans are more likely to believe that Romney, not Obama, will raise taxes on the middle class. This is usually a point of strength for Republicans, but Obama has made this an advantage.
·Obama’s edge can be explained by his advantage on several key traits. By 11%, Nevada voters are more likely to believe that Obama, not Romney "fights for people like you." By 6%, Nevada voters are more likely to trust Obama more than Romney to a decision based on what is right for the country in the long term, not just for today.
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