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President Obama leads Mitt Romney by 7 percentage points in Nevada, according to a new survey by Democratic pollster Lisa Grove taken this week. The poll, for Project New America, found Obama up 50-43, a few points larger than today's Rasmussen Reports poll (with a bizarre sample) that showed 50-47, Obama. Republicans may discount the survey because of its Democratic trappings. But I have seen the instrument (memo linked here), the party/gender weighting looks right and Grove has done work in...
I first Tweeted about it this morning after reading a report from a New Haven daily (Unite Here boss John Wilhelm is a Yalie). But, apparently after getting inquiries, the union made it official today in a news release. Sounds as if Taylor, the longtime local leader, will live here and not move back East:     UNITE HERE Union Leadership Transition John Wilhelm, President of UNITE HERE Union for the last 15 years, is planning to step down at the end of November this year. The UNITE HERE...
UPDATE: AFSCME just came in with a six-figure buy in Reno for the duration to help Rep. Shelley Berkley. Also, big uptick in Spanish-TV buys, too, with ads starting this week from People for the American Way (Dem), the Hispanic Leadership Fund (GOP) and Unite Here (Culinary parent with a brutal hit on Mitt Romney.) Catching up on some new buys in the public file (I extrapolated from what I saw): Crossroads: Last week, the Rovian folks plunked down mid- to high six figures for a statewide buy...
In a polling memo surely designed to rev up the base and maybe raise a little money, Danny Tarkanian's pollsters expressed confidence this week in a missive headlined, "Tarkanian momentum grows." The memo, attached here, from David Polyansky and Ed Goeas, says a survey they took last week showed the congressional hopeful up 10 percentage points over Steven Horsford. That's hardly an outlier as other surveys, including one posted on this site have shown the same, and Democrats are manifestly...
The Federal Election Commission will consider the audit findings on Thursday that show irregularities with 2010 U.S. Senate candidate Sharron Angle's campaign disclosures. Highlights (full report linked here) of audit of "Friends of Sharron Angle" below:   Finding 1. Filing of 48-Hour Notices In its response to the DFAR, FOSA had no additional comments on this finding. The Audit staff recommends that the Commission find that FOSA filed in an untimely manner or failed to file 48-hour notices for...
If the presidential and/or U.S. Senate race are close this year, welcome to my nightmare. Republicans, as they did in 2010, already are laying the predicate for challenging voters, raising the specter of all of those new Democratic registrations not being kosher. And Democrats, fearing attempts to suppress their vote, are moving to counter these efforts. And then you have the "newspaper," through its chief editorial writer and Sunday columnist Glenn Cook raising the specter of voter fraud....
More than 400 people responded to the site question: "Who will win the competitive congressional contests?" Results: Joe Heck--34 percent John Oceguera--26 percent Steven Horsford -- 21 percent Danny Tarkanian -- 18 percent New, mischievous question is up!
So along with Sen. Dean Heller, Danny Tarkanian becomes the second Republican to say he has two opponents. To wit:   Dear Harry Reid has reached a new low. Recent polls show my opponent, Steven Horsford down 13 points. Senate Majority leader Harry Reid is attempting to leverage Nevada voters to elect an individual he has as dubbed his heir in Washington. Reid is relying on desperate attacks to distract voters, because Horsford and Reid know that that they cannot run on their failed agenda...

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