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TONIGHT'S RALSTON REPORTS: PART TWO OF U.S SENATE DEBATE
DAYS SINCE HARRY REID HAS BEEN ON FACE TO FACE: 638
DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY: 21
DAYS UNTIL EARLY VOTING BEGINS: 4
DAYS UNTIL CD3 DEBATE ON F2F: 8
DAYS UNTIL THE TEEN CAN AFFECT THE POLITICAL WORLD: 268
Good morning, everyone. Quite the intense, lively, occasionally nasty U.S. Senate debate last night on “Ralston Reports,” with many sharp exchanges and tension during those long...
TONIGHT'S RALSTON REPORTS: CD1 hopeful Chris Edwards, feedback on Steve Wynn, Reality Check time
DAYS SINCE HARRY REID HAS BEEN ON FACE TO FACE: 637
DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY: 22
DAYS UNTIL EARLY VOTING BEGINS: 5
DAYS UNTIL CD3 DEBATE ON F2F: 9
DAYS UNTIL THE TEEN CAN AFFECT THE POLITICAL WORLD: 269
Good morning, everyone. Tonight’s the night you’ve been waiting for in the Nevada Senate race: One hour on “Ralston Reports” between Sen....
President Obama leads 51-43 in Nevada, according to a Mark Mellman poll taken this week for Americans United for Change.
AUFC is a liberal, union-funded group, which may give GOP folks ammunition. But Mellman has a good track record here.
Is he right? We'll find out.
Memo linked here.
Darren Littel, an RNC operative helping lead the GOP effort here, tweeted this on Thursday: "In #NV absentee ballots GOP outperforming reg numbers by 7%, Dems under performing by 2 points"
Wow. That sounds huge.
But, as always, context is called for.
Republicans nearly always beat Democrats in absentee ballots -- they did by a few points two and four years ago. And mail ballots are a small percentage of the overall vote.
Republicans can't match the Democratic ground game (unions, etc.), so...
The numbers:
State: 11.8 percent
Vegas: 11.5 percent
Reno: 10.8 percent
Carson: 10.9 percent
Full report linked here.
The city of Fernley, which sued the state of Nevada over tax collections, has survived the first round of litigation and attempts to dismiss the case.
A judge refused to dismiss the case and allowed Fernley to proceed with discovery. The state and the Legislature, which intervened in the case involving consolidated tax collections and how they are apportioned, had tried to scuttle the case. But no dice.
I'm not surprised the Shelley Berkley campaign folks decided to release their internals with the "newspaper" (Sen. Dean Heller plus 6) and Rasmussen Reports (Heller plus 7) polls released today.
Neither of those surveys has been close to accurate in Nevada -- although perhaps 2012 will be the exception -- and Mellman nailed the 2010 race. He has Berkley, for whom he is working, up 3. They wouldn't show me the poll, but I have linked his memo, which derides other polling, here.
Heller may yet...
The diverse herd, populated by bulls branded red and blue, has moved in the same direction, a stray cow or two notwithstanding: The president won the debate.
I agree. But you know what? That doesn’t really matter.
What matters is what those unfortunately benighted undecided voters think – and there were few of those in the hall at Hofstra on Tuesday evening. Even more so than that small universe of undecided voters, what really determines the outcome now is how Democrats and Republicans feel –...