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As the Democrats sound buoyant with their wide margin and the Republicans sound like Custer crowing after Little Big Horn, some more thoughts on Day One of early voting in Clark County:
---Republicans -- at least some -- are claiming the Democratic machine did not work as well in Clark because the margin is only a landslide (55-29) after the first day and not a super-landslide (60-23) as it was in '08. Well, ok. But the Democrats still turned out MORE voters than in '08 -- 3,000 more. Their...
UPDATE: Democrats also decisively defeated Republicans in first round of absentee ballots, usually a GOP strength, posted in Clark County: 8,976-7,448, or 46-38. So raw number in Clark so far: Dems, 27,364-17,036. That's 52-32, or 5 points above the registration edge.
So: After one day -- remember it's only one day! -- using absentees and early votes in Clark and early votes in Washoe (don't have absentees yet), the Democrats have an 11,000-vote lead statewide. Let's see where we go from here....
Welcome to The Weekly Report, where you find exclusive commentary and analysis. As always, I welcome feedback. Please tell me what you want and don’t want.
This week:
1. My column: What to watch for in early voting
2. By the numbers: Absentees and inactives
3. State of the Races
4. Nuggets on the labor machine, the Hispanic turnout, Mellman’s polling, Wynn’s employee-persuading and a Grover incursion
MY COLUMN: THE PREDICTIVE POWER OF EARLY VOTING
Two years ago during early...
As early voting begins today, and Republicans continue to spin their tales of voter contacts, let me show you just how difficult Mitt Romney's task is here in Nevada.
Let's suppose Republicans have a 5 percentage point turnout edge over Democrats (85 percent to 80 percent) once all the votes are counted and that "other" voters turn out at an 80 percent clip (that may be high). Let's suppose 85 percent of each base votes for the nominee (it's likely to be closer to 90 percent) and let's...
Some nuggets to end your week:
Nugget No. 1 -- Gov. Brian Sandoval, now heading Team Nevada, sent out a pitch today for the man he endorsed but never seemed enthusiastic about:
"Washington is failing our state....We need to send Mitt Romney to the White House to get government out of the way of job creators, and to turn our state's economy around. Mitt is the right choice for getting our nation back on the right fiscal track."
See, that wasn't so hard, Gov. Sunny.
Nugget No. 2 -- SEIU and AFP,...
If you don't think we matter in the presidential race and Senate matrix, consider the latest on ad buys, with a whopping one from Crossroads (the Karl Rove group) at the top:
----How big is the Crossroads buy? $300,000 on one Vegas station for one week (Oct. 24-30). Extrapolate that!
----Majority PAC (help for Rep. Shelley Berkley) put down six figures for the last week.
----Priorities USA Action, the Obama-aligned SuperPAC, put down substantial buys, North and South, for the last push.
----...
TONIGHT'S RALSTON REPORTS: Planned Parenthood has become a presidential election flashpoint -- we'll have a regional leader
DAYS SINCE HARRY REID HAS BEEN ON FACE TO FACE: 641
DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY: 18
DAYS UNTIL EARLY VOTING BEGINS: 1
DAYS UNTIL CD3 DEBATE ON F2F: 5
DAYS UNTIL THE TEEN CAN AFFECT THE POLITICAL WORLD: 265
Good morning, everyone. We are now on the eve of early voting, and we will see signs right away whether...
TONIGHT'S RALSTON REPORTS: Benny Yerushalmi vs. Mark Hutchison for state Senate
DAYS SINCE HARRY REID HAS BEEN ON FACE TO FACE: 640
DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY: 19
DAYS UNTIL EARLY VOTING BEGINS: 2
DAYS UNTIL CD3 DEBATE ON F2F: 6
DAYS UNTIL THE TEEN CAN AFFECT THE POLITICAL WORLD: 266
Good morning, everyone. Yes, I have a newfound love of Reno. And it is beautiful up here. But when hotel Internet goes down, I love----nothing!
Rushing to...
TONIGHT'S RALSTON REPORTS: HHS boss Mike Willden
DAYS SINCE HARRY REID HAS BEEN ON FACE TO FACE: 639
DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY: 20
DAYS UNTIL EARLY VOTING BEGINS: 3
DAYS UNTIL CD3 DEBATE ON F2F: 7
DAYS UNTIL THE TEEN CAN AFFECT THE POLITICAL WORLD: 267
Good morning, everyone. Debate No. 2 is in the books and rarely have I seen a moment like that one on Libya – Barack Obama’s rehearsed high dudgeon followed by Mitt Romney’s tactical...
TONIGHT'S RALSTON REPORTS: PART TWO OF U.S SENATE DEBATE
DAYS SINCE HARRY REID HAS BEEN ON FACE TO FACE: 638
DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY: 21
DAYS UNTIL EARLY VOTING BEGINS: 4
DAYS UNTIL CD3 DEBATE ON F2F: 8
DAYS UNTIL THE TEEN CAN AFFECT THE POLITICAL WORLD: 268
Good morning, everyone. Quite the intense, lively, occasionally nasty U.S. Senate debate last night on “Ralston Reports,” with many sharp exchanges and tension during those long...