Secretary of State Ross Miller has an 8 percentage point lead on Adam Laxalt in the race for attorney general while Treasurer Kate Marshall has a 2 percentage point lead, well within the margin of error, over state Sen. Barbara Cegasvke in the contest for secretary of state.
Those are the findings of a poll taken last month -- and before the heavy advertising began in the AG's race -- by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, a well-known Democratic polling firm. The survey was conducted for iVote, which is the Democratic Party-aligned outfit trying to protect voting rights across the country. It was a statewide, live-caller poll of 600 likley voters (4 percent margin of error).
Those numbers comport with private polling I have been told about. The firm, in a polling memo I have attached here, puts the best face on the results, pointing out that Gov. Brian Sandoval is leading the GOP ticket and these two down-ticket Democrats, especially Miller, are doing well.
Miller actually is at 50 percent in the poll -- he leads 50-42 -- which is good for him considering his name ID is not overwhelming. Eight percent undecided also is a positive sign for Miller. But the ad avalanche is coming -- on both sides -- and could move these numbers.
As for Marshall, the memo indicates that she can win because of her superior name ID and better "profile." I never put much stock in those "looks good on paper" hypotheticals, and Marshall surely has to be worried about down-ticket ignorance and any GOP wave. But 46 percent ain't bad at this stage.
(I have seen the entire polling instrument but only am at liberty to release the memo.)
Secretary of State Ross Miller has an 8 percentage point lead on Adam Laxalt in the race for attorney general while Treasurer Kate Marshall has a 2 percentage point lead, well within the margin of error, over state Sen. Barbara Cegasvke in the contest for secretary of state.
Those are the findings of a poll taken last month -- and before the heavy advertising began in the AG's race -- by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, a well-known Democratic polling firm. The survey was conducted for iVote, which is the Democratic Party-aligned outfit trying to protect voting rights across the country. It was a statewide, live-caller poll of 600 likley voters (4 percent margin of error).
Those numbers comport with private polling I have been told about. The firm, in a polling memo I have attached here, puts the best face on the results, pointing out that Gov. Brian Sandoval is leading the GOP ticket and these two down-ticket Democrats, especially Miller, are doing well.
Miller actually is at 50 percent in the poll -- he leads 50-42 -- which is good for him considering his name ID is not overwhelming. Eight percent undecided also is a positive sign for Miller. But the ad avalanche is coming -- on both sides -- and could move these numbers.
As for Marshall, the memo indicates that she can win because of her superior name ID and better "profile." I never put much stock in those "looks good on paper" hypotheticals, and Marshall surely has to be worried about down-ticket ignorance and any GOP wave. But 46 percent ain't bad at this stage.
(I have seen the entire polling instrument but only am at liberty to release the memo.)
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