by Jon Ralston Thu, 09/20/2012 - 09:47
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We have been blessed with many wonderful interns @TheNVIndy, and @eom_yeon has been a great one. We wish her all th… t.co/1ir45FjKuk
7 hours 14 min ago.
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ICYMI: It is quite possible that half of the GOP's constitutional office ticket (or more) in Nevada is going to be… t.co/ujriEbDIqJ
11 hours 48 min ago.
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How lucky can one guy be,
The room was completely Black,
And Peters can't take a Chance,
Ain't that a kick in the (… t.co/UJq7cch007
12 hours 48 min ago.
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@mbrooksrjc Don't you have a poker player to suck up to on this website?
14 hours 28 min ago.
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Um, that would be 1964! Ann-Margret was not around at statehood!
14 hours 40 min ago.
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Good morning from The #WeMatter State.
NV fact: On this date in 1864, "Viva Las Vegas" was released, w/the incompa… t.co/FeemNhL1Gn
14 hours 48 min ago.
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@TheNVIndy @OHPredictive @VoteFiore In a purple state like Nevada, @VoteFiore, @Chattah4Nevada and @VoteJimMarchant… t.co/ZphSEjtDEZ
15 hours 58 min ago.
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News: @TheNVIndy/@OHPredictive poll shows 3 GOP candidates for statewide office have a chance to win primaries (one… t.co/RtKfj9S5RS
16 hours 2 min ago.
Rasmussen Reports released a poll this morning, which actually has a surprisingly Democratic-friendly sample, that shows Dean Heller and Shelley Berkley tied, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid disliked by more than half of the state and Gov. Brian Sandoval with huge numbers, especially for a chief executive in a devastated state.
The survey by the firm, often criticized as leaning GOP, showed Heller at 42 percent and Berkley at 41 percent -- Berkley was down by nine points in July by the same firm, so the trend isn't good for Heller. But for a Republicanm-leaning firm, the sample sure was Democratic. To wit:
---11 percent African-American? That's way high.
----Democrats up by 38-31 in sample -- that's 2 points higher than their registration advantage.
----53-47, female. Also probably a bit high.
So, yes, the trend matters and is not good for Heller. But that sample does not favor him.
On favorable/unfavorable, Heller is at 43/46 and Berkley at 38/54. She should be dead with that number, if it's right. So either the poll numnbers are lagging, the poll is just wrong or the muddying of the ethical waters by her campaign has worked.
Bottom line: Hard to take anything away from this poll, as with many others, because of weird sample. Oh, reliable polling, where art thou?
----The Reid numbers are abysmal: 44/51. Luckily, he's Harry "I have nothing to lose" Reid these days, so those numbers are meaningless.
---Sandoval is a juggernaut in this poll: 63/28 job approval. And a Democratic-slanted sample? Wow.
(Rasmussen says it will release presidential race in Nevada numbers later today.)
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