Education activist Susie Lee essentially has pulled even with frontrunner Lucy Flores, the former assemblywoman, according to a poll taken for her campaign last month.
Flores is at 26 percent, Lee at 23 and state Sen. Ruben Kihuen well back at 11 percent. The survey, taken by the well known national Democratic firm of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner from April 25-27 of 407 voters, has a margin of error of nearly 5 percent.
Lee's campaign believes the survey reflects a message field they have had unchallenged so far -- she has sent out eight mail pieces, which the survey shows has increased her name recognition, as you can see below. Neither Kihuen, who has sent one piece and just went up on TV, nor Flores, who just sent her first mailer, has done much.
I have seen the entire poll, and the demographics look right. So it's possible Lee has made inroads.
But here's the bottom line: Everyone's support is soft, a lot of voters are undecided and no one knows what the turnout will be. Kihuen could still make up ground with his TV and with the Culinary union's ground game. But this shows Lee is in the game and that Flores may have topped out unless she starts to spend some of her Bernie money.
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The numbers next to the name are voters who had warm feelings, voters who had cool feelings and how many recognized the name.
Education activist Susie Lee essentially has pulled even with frontrunner Lucy Flores, the former assemblywoman, according to a poll taken for her campaign last month.
Flores is at 26 percent, Lee at 23 and state Sen. Ruben Kihuen well back at 11 percent. The survey, taken by the well known national Democratic firm of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner from April 25-27 of 407 voters, has a margin of error of nearly 5 percent.
Lee's campaign believes the survey reflects a message field they have had unchallenged so far -- she has sent out eight mail pieces, which the survey shows has increased her name recognition, as you can see below. Neither Kihuen, who has sent one piece and just went up on TV, nor Flores, who just sent her first mailer, has done much.
I have seen the entire poll, and the demographics look right. So it's possible Lee has made inroads.
But here's the bottom line: Everyone's support is soft, a lot of voters are undecided and no one knows what the turnout will be. Kihuen could still make up ground with his TV and with the Culinary union's ground game. But this shows Lee is in the game and that Flores may have topped out unless she starts to spend some of her Bernie money.
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The numbers next to the name are voters who had warm feelings, voters who had cool feelings and how many recognized the name.
8 Barack Obama............................................................................ 83 11 99
9 Hillary Clinton.............................................................................. 73 18 98
10 Cresent Hardy........................................................................... 10 29 51
11 Susie Lee.................................................................................. 25 10 46
12 Ruben Kihuen ........................................................................... 15 8 31
13 Lucy Flores ............................................................................... 27 15 56
[204 Respondents]
14 (SPLIT A) Stations Casino ........................................................ 45 16 77
[203 Respondents]
15 (SPLIT B) The Culinary Union................................................... 45 12 77
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